Tuesday 1 September 2015

Another short selling victim

From Star biz 30 August 2015:

SELF-MADE bil­lion­aire Goh Peng Ooi was in the news in the past week for the wrong rea­sons. Goh and his Sin­ga­pore Stock Ex­change-listed soft­ware so­lu­tions com­pany, Sil­ver­lake Axis Ltd, were ac­cused of shady deals that in­flated the lat­ter’s earn­ings in a re­port that was re­leased on the night of Aug 20.

By mid­day of the fol­low­ing day, the report, titled “The Unbelievable Financial Alchemy of Silverlake Axis”, had done its damage. According to the Singapore Business Times, the report had made the rounds of the broking houses and caused the company’s share price to fall as much as 27% in intraday trade on Aug 21. It prompted the stock exchange to query the company over the unusual share price movement.

Silverlake Axis then asked for a halt on trading of its shares. Last Tues­day, fol­low­ing the lifting of the two day trading halt, its share price tumbled further and closed at the lowest since late February 2013. Although the share price has since recovered, it closed at 56 Singapore cents yesterday, still below the 63.5 Sin­ga­pore cents it was trading at on Aug 21 prior to the halt.

The 42-page report, authored by “razor99”, brazenly admits that it “may have short positions in Silverlake Axis” and could realise gains in the event that the share price decreases. It did not help that the company took some time to respond to the report’s allegations, with a statement from group managing director Kwong Yong Sin available only at midnight of Aug 25.

Goh, 61, the founder and executive chairman of Silverlake Axis, has learned a lesson from this episode. He is taking the criticism in his stride and soldiering on, in research, where his passion and interest lies.

“My character is more academic and I don’t care what others think about me. But I do take people’s criticism as an education process,” he says.

And it looks like the market is giving him the benefit of the doubt. On Aug 27, RHB Research upgraded the stock to a “buy” from “neutral” previously, with a target price of 58 Singapore cents. UOB Kay Hian maintained a “hold” call, with a target price of 66 Singapore cents. For the record, the razor99 report has a 29 Singapore cent target price on the stock.

Goh pointed out that the lines of responsibility are clear within the company as the board has control over its running while he concentrates on research. He feels that it is his responsibility as a supplier and majority shareholder to develop software.

Meeting him earlier in the year, one can understand his interest in research, especially in game theory. The well-read Goh, who has a penchant for spewing a bewildering array of mathematical formulae in a conversation, is convinced that the future lies in game theory and its use to predict changes.

He jokes often about how his lieutenants prefer for him not to meet clients or fund managers, for a conversation with him can be “torturous”, as he told StarBiz Week back in April. Goh says game theory can be used to predict the changes that can affect businesses.

His preoccupation with research has resulted in a theory which he calls the Goh Mathematical Intelligence game theory or Goh-MI for short. It is not out of hubris that the self deprecating lad from a kampung that is now part of Butterworth names the theory after himself. He says that this theory goes beyond the Nash Equilbrium, a theory that itself goes beyond the zero-sum game of game theory. A lot of other top mathematicians are working on the idea.

For the man until recently, was largely unknown to the public, as he does not appear in the society pages. But Goh himself notes that after Forbes named him as the ninth richest Malaysian this year with a net worth of US$1.6bil (RM6.7bil), the media started to knock on his door to ask for interviews. He owns 66.56% stake in Silverlake Axis through Intelligentsia Holding Ltd and is known as Malaysia’s first tech billionaire.

Still, Goh says the company will hire a third-party consultant and engage with Singaporean stock exchange regulators to explain the company’s side of the story. To assuage the concerns of shareholders, the company has appointed Deloitte Singapore on Aug 25 to undertake an independent review of the allegations made by “razor99”. The findings and conclusions will be published in due course.

Goh says “everything is in order” despite the extensive related-party transactions that the report accuses him, through private companies known collectively as the Silverlake group, and Silverlake Axis of conducting, which lacked clarity. The report says there are numerous red flags and ample evidence suggesting that Goh has used these related-party transactions to inflate Silverlake Axis’ reported results.

However, Goh has refuted the allegations by saying that while the structure of the private companies was complex, due to the nature of its business and the history behind it, all rules and regulations have been followed and that the listed Silverlake Axis has made proper disclosure in the corporate exercises it undertakes.

He adds that as a MSC status company, Silverlake Axis has to
ensure that its accounts are proper and in order as failure to do so will incur a big penalty such as the loss of tax breaks as a MSC status company.

Goh says most of the profit is paid out as dividend. He says if the company posts just a paper or inflated profit, it will not be able to pay out such a quantum of dividends in cash.

On Monday, the company released its fourth quarter ended June 30 and full year earnings. Compared to the previous corresponding quarter, net profit was flat while revenue for the quarter slipped owing to lower contributions from software licensing, the sale of software and hardware products, and credit and cards processing.